Five of the 20 managers who started the season in the 2022/23 Premier League had been sacked by the end of the calendar year.
Scott Parker became the first managerial casualty of the campaign when the ex-England international left Bournemouth on August 30, followed by Chelsea casting Thomas Tuchel out in early September, with the Blues firing the man that won them a UEFA Champions League title just 15 months earlier.
Bruno Lage was next out of the door after Wolves dropped into the bottom three with a limp 2-0 defeat at West Ham on October 1, preceding Steven Gerrard suffering the axe a swift 75 minutes after a 3-0 defeat to Fulham at Craven Cottage on October 20 that left Villa teetering above the relegation zone.
Ralph Hasenhuttl saw his time at Southampton come to an end following their 4-1 home defeat to Newcastle United on November 6. Saints had won just two of their past 11 league matches and were sitting two points off the bottom of the table when Hasenhuttl’s departure was announced.
Frank Lampard followed suit on January 23 with Everton sitting 19th in the Premier League with just 15 points from 20 matches and now Jesse March has become the latest after seven league games without a win saw Leeds give him the boot on February 6.
You know the next one to go is not too far behind. Here’s the list of managers who could be on the chopping block.
Next Premier League manager to leave odds
Betting resumed after the dismissal of Frank Lampard at Everton on January 23 but has once again been suspended following Marsch’s dismissal.
Prior to the American’s sacking, David Moyes at West Ham was the heavy favorite to see the axe as the Hammers are battling relegation. Marsch had been second on the list.
Also in that mix are Gary O’Neil of Bournemouth and Antonio Conte of Tottenham, both for very different reasons. O’Neil oversaw a brief revival as the Cherries responded to his appointment, but they are back in the bottom three and still fighting for their lives. Conte, meanwhile, has struggle to get Spurs playing the way he wants, and a fading from the table’s top four could foreshadow a departure, either now or the end of the season depending on imminent results.
However, the big change is that Pep Guardiola jumped to third favourite following the news that Manchester City are facing allegations that they broke Premier League financial rules. Guardiola previously claimed he would resign if it emerged City bosses lied to him over the club’s conduct. City have insisted there is a “comprehensive body of irrefutable evidence” supporting their argument that they did not break any rules.
Odds as of February 6, 2023 – prior to Marsch’s sacking. Odds will be updated once betting markets reopen.
| Manager | Club | Odds (Sky Bet — UK) |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Jones | Southampton | 4/9 |
| Jesse Marsch | Leeds United | 5/1 |
| Pep Guardiola | Manchester City | 13/2 |
| Gary O’Neil | Bournemouth | 16/1 |
| Jurgen Klopp | Liverpool | 20/1 |
| David Moyes | West Ham | 20/1 |
| Graham Potter | Chelsea | 20/1 |
| Brendan Rodgers | Leicester City | 25/1 |
| Antonio Conte | Tottenham | 40/1 |
| Patrick Vieira | Crystal Palace | 50/1 |
First manager sacked in each Premier League season
The first manager sacked in Premier League history was Ian Porterfield of Chelsea, who lasted a whopping 29 matches before seeing the axe in mid-February.
The fastest manager ever sacked in the Premier League was Kenny Dalglish, who was ousted at Newcastle United after just two matches into the 1998/99 season. Peter Reid, Bobby Robson, Frank de Boer, and Javi Gracia were all given the boot after just four matches.
Tottenham are the club that appears on this list the most, having been the first to part ways with their manager in four seasons. Newcastle appear three times, as do Chelsea and Sunderland.
Scott Parker’s exit in 2022/23 came extremely early: On average, the first Premier League manager is sacked after 10.8 games, which would entail a mid-October timing during the 2022/23 season. Matchweek 10 is scheduled for October 8-10, while Matchweek 11 is set for October 14-16.
| Season | Manager | Club | Date | Premier League matches played |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992/93 | Ian Porterfield | Chelsea | Feb. 15, 1993 | 29 |
| 1993/94 | Peter Reid | Man City | Aug. 25, 1993 | 4 |
| 1994/95 | Osvaldo Ardiles* | Tottenham | Nov. 1, 1994 | 12 |
| 1995/96 | Roy McFarland | Bolton | Jan. 3, 1996 | 22 |
| 1996/97 | Howard Wilkinson | Leeds United | Sept. 9, 1996 | 5 |
| 1997/98 | David Pleat | Sheffield Wed | Nov. 3, 1997 | 13 |
| 1998/99 | Kenny Dalglish | Newcastle | Aug. 27, 1998 | 2 |
| 1999/00 | Danny Wilson | Sheffield Wed | Mar. 21, 2000 | 29 |
| 2000/01 | Gianluca Vialli | Chelsea | Sept. 12, 2000 | 5 |
| 2001/02 | Peter Taylor | Leicester City | Sept. 30, 2001 | 8 |
| 2002/03 | Peter Reid | Sunderland | Oct. 7, 2002 | 9 |
| 2003/04 | Glenn Hoddle | Tottenham | Sept. 22, 2003 | 6 |
| 2004/05 | Bobby Robson | Newcastle | Aug. 30, 2004 | 4 |
| 2005/06 | Alain Perrin | Portsmouth | Nov. 24, 2005 | 13 |
| 2006/07 | Iain Dowie | Charlton Athletic | Nov. 13, 2006 | 12 |
| 2007/08 | Martin Jol | Tottenham | Oct. 25, 2007 | 10 |
| 2008/09 | Juande Ramos | Tottenham | Oct. 25, 2008 | 8 |
| 2009/10 | Paul Hart | Portsmouth | Nov. 24, 2009 | 13 |
| 2010/11 | Chris Hughton | Newcastle | Dec. 6, 2010 | 16 |
| 2011/12 | Steve Bruce | Sunderland | Nov. 30, 2011 | 13 |
| 2012/13 | Roberto Di Matteo | Chelsea | Nov. 21, 2012 | 12 |
| 2013/14 | Paolo Di Canio | Sunderland | Sept. 23, 2013 | 5 |
| 2014/15 | Neil Warnock | Crystal Palace | Dec. 27, 2014 | 18 |
| 2015/16 | Brendan Rodgers | Liverpool | Oct. 4, 2015 | 8 |
| 2016/17 | Francesco Guidolin | Swansea City | Oct. 3, 2016 | 7 |
| 2017/18 | Frank De Boer | Crystal Palace | Sept. 11, 2017 | 4 |
| 2018/19 | Slavisa Jokanovic | Fulham | Nov. 14, 2018 | 12 |
| 2019/20 | Javi Gracia | Watford | Sept. 7, 2019 | 4 |
| 2020/21 | Slaven Bilic | West Brom | Dec. 16, 2020 | 13 |
| 2021/22 | Xisco Munoz | Watford | Oct. 3, 2021 | 7 |
| 2022/23 | Scott Parker | Bournemouth | August 30, 2022 | 4 |
*In 1994/95, West Ham manager Billy Bonds resigned before the official start of the season
Betting on first manager sacked or next manager
When betting on the first manager sacked in a Premier League season, it’s important to pay close attention to the title of the bet.
Sometimes, managers can depart of their own accord, or by “mutual consent,” leading to some questions around what constitutes being “sacked.”
Officially, the bet is often titled “Next Premier League Manager to Leave their Club” which eliminates much of the confusion around what constitutes being fired, released, let go, or departing by mutual consent. For example, Pep Guardiola is highly unlikely to be sacked by Man City any time soon, but bookmakers think it’s conceivable he could leave amid the investigation into the club’s finances.
Additionally, when placing bets involving “Next Manager” for a club, the word “Permanent” is often included, meaning interim managers are not given consideration for a winning bet. Thus, if a manager is given an “interim” tag as a replacement, the bet remains open until the “interim” tag is removed or a new permanent boss is hired from elsewhere.
